Russia · Second League - Group 4

Akron II vs Dinamo Barnaul Prediction

Akron II badgeAkron II vs Dinamo Barnaul badgeDinamo Barnaul

Match prediction

  • Akron II's home dominance, with nine wins and six clean sheets, supports the double-chance advice despite their weaker away record.
  • Dinamo Barnaul's away defence concedes 2.8 goals per game, reinforcing the low probability assigned to an away win.
  • The head-to-head record favours Dinamo Barnaul, but recent meetings show draws and Akron II's 5-0 home win, tempering that trend.
  • Akron II's superior Poisson and defensive metrics, combined with Dinamo Barnaul's leaky away form, justify covering the draw as insurance.
  • Both teams' recent form is mixed, so the model's equal draw and home probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
  • Dinamo Barnaul's tendency to score early and concede late suggests goals are likely, though the advice focuses on match result rather than totals.
Predicted winner
Akron II
Betting advice
Double chance : Akron II or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAkron IIDinamo Barnaul
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson78.0%22.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total55.3%44.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Akron II

Recent form: WDWLLLLLWWLWLDLWLWWWWLLDWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Dinamo Barnaul

Recent form: LLLDDLDLDLLDWWWLLLWWWWLDLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dinamo Barnaul 1–1 Akron II (06 Sep 2026)
  2. Dinamo Barnaul 3–1 Akron II (23 Aug 2026)
  3. Akron II 5–0 Dinamo Barnaul (06 Apr 2026)
  4. Dinamo Barnaul 3–2 Akron II (27 Jul 2025)
  5. Akron II 1–2 Dinamo Barnaul (20 Apr 2025)
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