Russia · Second League - Group 4
Akron II vs Dinamo Barnaul Prediction
Match prediction
- Akron II's home dominance, with nine wins and six clean sheets, supports the double-chance advice despite their weaker away record.
- Dinamo Barnaul's away defence concedes 2.8 goals per game, reinforcing the low probability assigned to an away win.
- The head-to-head record favours Dinamo Barnaul, but recent meetings show draws and Akron II's 5-0 home win, tempering that trend.
- Akron II's superior Poisson and defensive metrics, combined with Dinamo Barnaul's leaky away form, justify covering the draw as insurance.
- Both teams' recent form is mixed, so the model's equal draw and home probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
- Dinamo Barnaul's tendency to score early and concede late suggests goals are likely, though the advice focuses on match result rather than totals.
- Predicted winner
- Akron II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Akron II or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Akron II | Dinamo Barnaul |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Attack | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Akron II
Recent form: WDWLLLLLWWLWLDLWLWWWWLLDWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Dinamo Barnaul
Recent form: LLLDDLDLDLLDWWWLLLWWWWLDLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Dinamo Barnaul 1–1 Akron II (06 Sep 2026)
- Dinamo Barnaul 3–1 Akron II (23 Aug 2026)
- Akron II 5–0 Dinamo Barnaul (06 Apr 2026)
- Dinamo Barnaul 3–2 Akron II (27 Jul 2025)
- Akron II 1–2 Dinamo Barnaul (20 Apr 2025)


