Åkra vs Madla Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Madla as a combo winner with over 1.5 goals, though its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw and only a 10% home chance, so the edge is far from decisive. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Madla dominates form (92 versus 8), attack (67 versus 33), defence (85 versus 15) and Poisson (79 versus 21), yet head-to-head and goals both sit level at 50-50, and the overall totals of 70.5 to 29.5 merely restate the same imbalance. Åkra's team analysis explains the low form score: 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 defeats in 20 matches, no clean sheets at all, and a five-game losing streak within a form string that is overwhelmingly negative. Madla's record is the mirror image, with 12 wins, 6 draws and only 2 defeats, five clean sheets, and no match in which they failed to score, which supports the away-winner element of the advice. The goals analysis adds nuance, since Åkra concede 2.80 per game and have seen over 1.5 goals against in 16 of 20 matches, while Madla score 2.60 per game and have gone over 1.5 goals in 16 of 20, making the +1.5 component look reasonably grounded. Madla's scoring is heavily weighted to the 61-75 minute window (31.37%), whereas Åkra's concessions are spread fairly evenly across the match, suggesting the away side may need patience rather than an early breakthrough. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Åkra have one draw and four defeats, including a 6-0 loss at Vindbjart, while Madla have four wins and a draw, scoring 14 and conceding only 4 across those games. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, as Madla won the most recent meeting 3-1 in June 2026, but Åkra won 4-2 at home in 2021 and the 2020 fixture has no recorded score, so the sample is small and mixed. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the existing Madla and over 1.5 goals advice, but the level head-to-head and goals splits, together with the elevated draw probability, mean this should be treated as a plausible rather than certain outcome.

Predicted winner

Madla

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Madla and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Madla 3–1 Åkra (13 Jun 2026)
2. Åkra 4–2 Madla (21 Sep 2021)
3. Åkra —–— Madla (19 Sep 2020)