Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Motala Prediction
Match prediction
- Ahlafors' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, but the model's 45-45 split makes the draw equally likely.
- Motala's head-to-head edge and recent draws against Ahlafors justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight home win.
- Ahlafors' strong home record, with only one home loss, underpins their 45% win probability and the low-risk double chance.
- Motala's away form is weak, with just two away wins, yet their tendency to draw supports covering the draw in the advice.
- Both teams' goal profiles lean under 2.5, suggesting a tight match where the draw is a realistic outcome.
- The narrow gap between the two sides, reflected in the 45-45-10 probabilities, makes the double chance the most sensible recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Ahlafors
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Ahlafors or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ahlafors | Motala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ahlafors
Recent form: DLDWLLWWWWDWDDDWWDWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Motala
Recent form: WLDLWWLDLWLDWLDLDDLDDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Motala 3–2 Ahlafors (26 Apr 2026)
- Ahlafors 3–3 Motala (28 Jun 2025)
- Motala 1–1 Ahlafors (11 May 2025)
- Motala 5–0 Ahlafors (24 Aug 2024)
- Ahlafors 6–0 Motala (27 Apr 2024)