Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Águilas II vs Unión Molinense Prediction

Águilas II badgeÁguilas II vs Unión Molinense badgeUnión Molinense

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
  • Águilas II's four straight draws, including three scoreless or one-goal stalemates, support the draw half of the advice.
  • Unión Molinense's two wins in four, versus Águilas II's winless run, justify favouring the away side within the double chance.
  • Molinense's superior attack and form metrics outweigh Águilas II's better defence, tilting the balance toward the visitors without eliminating the draw.
  • Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring, tight margins, reinforcing that a draw is a genuine outcome rather than a fallback.
  • Head-to-head results are split across four meetings, so they add little separation and keep the draw component credible.
Predicted winner
Unión Molinense
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Unión Molinense
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorÁguilas IIUnión Molinense
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total41.7%58.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Águilas II

Recent form: DDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Unión Molinense

Recent form: WDLW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Águilas II 2–1 Unión Molinense (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Unión Molinense 4–2 Águilas II (07 Dec 2025)
  3. Águilas II 0–1 Unión Molinense (15 Mar 2025)
  4. Unión Molinense 1–1 Águilas II (18 Dec 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…