Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Águilas II vs Unión Molinense Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
- Águilas II's four straight draws, including three scoreless or one-goal stalemates, support the draw half of the advice.
- Unión Molinense's two wins in four, versus Águilas II's winless run, justify favouring the away side within the double chance.
- Molinense's superior attack and form metrics outweigh Águilas II's better defence, tilting the balance toward the visitors without eliminating the draw.
- Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring, tight margins, reinforcing that a draw is a genuine outcome rather than a fallback.
- Head-to-head results are split across four meetings, so they add little separation and keep the draw component credible.
- Predicted winner
- Unión Molinense
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Unión Molinense
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Águilas II | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Defence | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Águilas II
Recent form: DDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Unión Molinense
Recent form: WDLW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Águilas II 2–1 Unión Molinense (11 Apr 2026)
- Unión Molinense 4–2 Águilas II (07 Dec 2025)
- Águilas II 0–1 Unión Molinense (15 Mar 2025)
- Unión Molinense 1–1 Águilas II (18 Dec 2024)


