Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

Agoncillo vs Vianés Prediction

Agoncillo badgeAgoncillo vs Vianés badgeVianés

Match prediction

  • Agoncillo and Vianés share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the model's edge rests on Agoncillo's stronger form rather than a decisive home advantage.
  • Agoncillo's 83 form score against Vianés's 17, plus Vianés's three losses in four, supports the double-chance selection despite the low 10% away win probability.
  • Both defences rate equally at 50, yet Agoncillo scores 2.5 goals per game versus Vianés's 1.3, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • Vianés has failed to score only once and Agoncillo never, while neither keeps clean sheets, reinforcing the expectation of at least two goals.
  • Head-to-head is split evenly at 50-50 with recent meetings producing both teams scoring, which tempers any assumption of Agoncillo dominance.
  • Agoncillo's 3-5 home loss to Calahorra shows defensive vulnerability, so the draw half of the double chance remains a meaningful safeguard.
Predicted winner
Agoncillo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Agoncillo or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAgoncilloVianés
Form83.0%17.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total59.3%40.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Agoncillo

Recent form: DDLW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Vianés

Recent form: LLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vianés 2–1 Agoncillo (10 May 2026)
  2. Agoncillo 3–1 Vianés (11 Jan 2026)
  3. Agoncillo 2–2 Vianés (09 Feb 2025)
  4. Vianés 1–2 Agoncillo (29 Sep 2024)
  5. Agoncillo 1–2 Vianés (16 Apr 2023)
Loading interactive prediction…