Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Vianés Prediction
Match prediction
- Agoncillo and Vianés share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the model's edge rests on Agoncillo's stronger form rather than a decisive home advantage.
- Agoncillo's 83 form score against Vianés's 17, plus Vianés's three losses in four, supports the double-chance selection despite the low 10% away win probability.
- Both defences rate equally at 50, yet Agoncillo scores 2.5 goals per game versus Vianés's 1.3, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Vianés has failed to score only once and Agoncillo never, while neither keeps clean sheets, reinforcing the expectation of at least two goals.
- Head-to-head is split evenly at 50-50 with recent meetings producing both teams scoring, which tempers any assumption of Agoncillo dominance.
- Agoncillo's 3-5 home loss to Calahorra shows defensive vulnerability, so the draw half of the double chance remains a meaningful safeguard.
- Predicted winner
- Agoncillo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Agoncillo or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Agoncillo | Vianés |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Agoncillo
Recent form: DDLW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Vianés
Recent form: LLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Vianés 2–1 Agoncillo (10 May 2026)
- Agoncillo 3–1 Vianés (11 Jan 2026)
- Agoncillo 2–2 Vianés (09 Feb 2025)
- Vianés 1–2 Agoncillo (29 Sep 2024)
- Agoncillo 1–2 Vianés (16 Apr 2023)


