Afragolese vs Ossese Prediction
Afragolese vs 
Ossese
Match prediction
- The model gives Afragolese and the draw identical 45% probabilities, which directly justifies the double-chance advice rather than a straight home win.
- Ossese's superior form and attack ratings are offset by Afragolese's far stronger Poisson score, reconciling the model's caution with its home lean.
- Afragolese's away record is the clear weakness, with three failed-to-score matches on the road and a 4-0 loss at Città di Anagni.
- Afragolese's home profile is far more reliable, scoring five goals across two home games while conceding only once.
- Ossese's away form is modest, producing one win, one loss and just one goal in two away fixtures, which tempers their overall form advantage.
- Both defences concede at identical rates, so the draw component of the double chance carries genuine weight alongside the home probability.
- Predicted winner
- Afragolese
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Afragolese or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Afragolese | Ossese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Afragolese
Recent form: DDDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Ossese
Recent form: WWDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.