England · EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet Prediction

· The Cherry Red Records Stadium

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Barnet and +1.5 goals

AFC Wimbledon badgeAFC Wimbledon vs Barnet badgeBarnet

Match prediction

  • Barnet's perfect recent form and 5-1 win justify the model's 45% away win probability, though the identical draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Wimbledon's single loss with one goal scored and two conceded supports their low 10% win probability and the advice against a home result.
  • Barnet's attack rating of 83 versus Wimbledon's 17 explains the lean toward Barnet and the +1.5 goals component.
  • The head-to-head record favors Wimbledon 60-40, a conflicting signal that likely tempers confidence in the away win.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced goals, supporting the +1.5 goals advice despite Wimbledon's limited scoring output.
  • Small samples of one or five matches mean form and goal averages should be treated as directional rather than definitive.
Predicted winner
Barnet
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Barnet and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAFC WimbledonBarnet
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack17.0%83.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total40.8%59.3%

Team form and goal analysis

AFC Wimbledon

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Barnet

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 5.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Barnet 2–0 AFC Wimbledon (03 Aug 2024)
  2. Barnet 3–4 AFC Wimbledon (29 Aug 2017)
  3. Barnet 1–2 AFC Wimbledon (20 Feb 2016)
  4. AFC Wimbledon 2–0 Barnet (03 Oct 2015)
  5. AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Barnet (01 Apr 2013)
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