Ivory-Coast · Ligue 1

AFAD vs SOA Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or SOA

AFAD badgeAFAD vs SOA badgeSOA

Match prediction

  • SOA's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify favouring them, though the draw carries equal probability.
  • AFAD's single loss and weak form metrics explain their low win probability, supporting the double chance against a home victory.
  • Head-to-head results are evenly split, which tempers confidence in an outright SOA win and reinforces covering the draw.
  • Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring tendencies, suggesting the draw component of the advice is well supported.
  • The narrow gap between away win and draw probabilities indicates the model sees little separation, making double chance the safer expression.
  • AFAD's last-five record includes heavy wins but also recent losses, so their threat cannot be dismissed despite the low home probability.
Predicted winner
SOA
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or SOA
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAFADSOA
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total42.3%57.8%

Team form and goal analysis

AFAD

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

SOA

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. AFAD 3–2 SOA (10 May 2026)
  2. SOA 1–0 AFAD (02 Dec 2025)
  3. AFAD 1–1 SOA (11 Mar 2025)
  4. SOA 0–2 AFAD (08 Nov 2024)
  5. SOA 3–2 AFAD (08 May 2024)
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