Greece · Gamma Ethniki - Group 10
AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios Prediction
Match prediction
- Atsalenios's perfect form and attack scores against Neapolis's winless, scoreless record justify favoring the away side despite the modest 45% win probability.
- The equal 45% draw probability and the advice's double-chance framing indicate the model treats a stalemate as nearly as likely as an away win.
- Neapolis's single 2026 loss with no goals scored, plus a 2022 five-goal defeat to Atsalenios, supports the low 10% home win probability.
- Both teams' recent matches produced at most two goals, and each under-3.5 goals line is fully satisfied, reinforcing the -3.5 goals advice.
- Atsalenios's head-to-head edge and Neapolis's failed-to-score record point away from a high-scoring home performance.
- The stale 2022 head-to-head results and one-match samples qualify the strength of these trends, so the probabilities remain far from certain.
- Predicted winner
- Atsalenios
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Atsalenios and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | AE Neapolis | Atsalenios |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
AE Neapolis
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Atsalenios
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Atsalenios 5–0 AE Neapolis (20 Mar 2022)
- AE Neapolis 1–0 Atsalenios (12 Dec 2021)
- Atsalenios —–— AE Neapolis (17 Jan 2021)
- AE Neapolis 0–2 Atsalenios (18 Oct 2020)


