Greece · Gamma Ethniki - Group 10

AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios Prediction

AE Neapolis badgeAE Neapolis vs Atsalenios badgeAtsalenios

Match prediction

  • Atsalenios's perfect form and attack scores against Neapolis's winless, scoreless record justify favoring the away side despite the modest 45% win probability.
  • The equal 45% draw probability and the advice's double-chance framing indicate the model treats a stalemate as nearly as likely as an away win.
  • Neapolis's single 2026 loss with no goals scored, plus a 2022 five-goal defeat to Atsalenios, supports the low 10% home win probability.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced at most two goals, and each under-3.5 goals line is fully satisfied, reinforcing the -3.5 goals advice.
  • Atsalenios's head-to-head edge and Neapolis's failed-to-score record point away from a high-scoring home performance.
  • The stale 2022 head-to-head results and one-match samples qualify the strength of these trends, so the probabilities remain far from certain.
Predicted winner
Atsalenios
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Atsalenios and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAE NeapolisAtsalenios
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals13.0%88.0%
Total33.0%67.3%

Team form and goal analysis

AE Neapolis

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Atsalenios

Recent form: D.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atsalenios 5–0 AE Neapolis (20 Mar 2022)
  2. AE Neapolis 1–0 Atsalenios (12 Dec 2021)
  3. Atsalenios —–— AE Neapolis (17 Jan 2021)
  4. AE Neapolis 0–2 Atsalenios (18 Oct 2020)
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