Netherlands · Eredivisie Women
ADO Den Haag W vs PSV/Eindhoven W Prediction
· WerkTalent Stadion
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities show PSV favored but not dominant, so the combo advice carries real draw risk.
- PSV's 71 defence rating against ADO's 29 explains the 90% Poisson edge and supports the away side in the combo.
- ADO's 4.50 home goals-against average and 1-7 loss to Twente show defensive fragility that supports the +2.5 goals leg.
- PSV's 1.30 goals-against average and three clean sheets suggest they may limit ADO, though both teams scoring in every ADO match supports goals.
- PSV's recent 0-4 loss to Twente and 0-0 draw with Fortuna Hjorring show attacking inconsistency that qualifies the +2.5 goals expectation.
- Head-to-head heavily favors PSV at 93%, but ADO's 2-0 home win over PSV in 2025 shows the venue can produce upsets.
- Predicted winner
- PSV/Eindhoven W
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : PSV/Eindhoven W and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | ADO Den Haag W | PSV/Eindhoven W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 10.0% | 90.0% |
| H2h | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Goals | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Total | 26.8% | 73.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
ADO Den Haag W
Recent form: LLWWDL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
PSV/Eindhoven W
Recent form: WDWLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- PSV/Eindhoven W 2–0 ADO Den Haag W (08 May 2026)
- ADO Den Haag W 0–2 PSV/Eindhoven W (07 Dec 2025)
- ADO Den Haag W 1–1 PSV/Eindhoven W (25 Jan 2025)
- PSV/Eindhoven W 2–0 ADO Den Haag W (10 Nov 2024)
- PSV/Eindhoven W 3–1 ADO Den Haag W (28 Jan 2024)