AD Sarchí vs ADR Jicaral Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives ADR Jicaral a 50% win probability and AD Sarchí 0%, with the remaining 50% on a draw, so the advice of a draw-or-ADR Jicaral double chance reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where ADR Jicaral leads on form (61 versus 39), attack (64 versus 36), defence (73 versus 27), Poisson (71 versus 29), goals (73 versus 27) and total (71.2 versus 28.8), while the head-to-head split of 85 to 15 is the most lopsided of all. The team analysis supports this: ADR Jicaral are unbeaten in seven with four wins and three draws, including a three-match winning streak, whereas AD Sarchí have three wins, two draws and two losses, with both defeats coming away from home. ADR Jicaral's defensive record is notably stronger, conceding 0.6 goals per game with three clean sheets and never failing to score, compared with AD Sarchí's 1.4 conceded per game, no clean sheets and two scoreless away performances. The goals analysis adds nuance, as AD Sarchí score 1.1 per game and ADR Jicaral 1.6, but both teams have gone under 2.5 goals in six of seven matches, suggesting the edge may be narrow rather than a high-scoring blowout. Recent form is more mixed than the season aggregates imply: AD Sarchí's last five read W-L-W-L-D, including a 4-0 away loss to Santa Cruz, while ADR Jicaral's last five are D-D-W-W-W, with three straight wins before two draws. The head-to-head record qualifies the away lean, since the most recent meeting in August 2026 finished 1-1 and AD Sarchí have won two of the last ten encounters, including a 3-0 away win in February 2026, so the fixture has not been one-sided in every recent edition. Both teams also show a late-goal pattern, with AD Sarchí scoring 62.5% of their goals after 76 minutes and ADR Jicaral 45.45%, which could keep the draw probability relevant if the game stays tight into the closing stages. Overall, the evidence points toward ADR Jicaral avoiding defeat more often than not, but the 50% draw probability and the recent 1-1 head-to-head result mean the double chance is a cautious reflection of that edge rather than a strong statement of superiority.

Predicted winner

ADR Jicaral

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or ADR Jicaral

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. ADR Jicaral 1–1 AD Sarchí (09 Aug 2026)
2. ADR Jicaral 3–2 AD Sarchí (05 Apr 2026)
3. AD Sarchí 0–3 ADR Jicaral (21 Feb 2026)
4. AD Sarchí 1–1 ADR Jicaral (09 Nov 2025)
5. ADR Jicaral 3–0 AD Sarchí (21 Sep 2025)