Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

Acren-Lessines vs Union Namur Prediction

Acren-Lessines badgeAcren-Lessines vs Union Namur badgeUnion Namur

Match prediction

  • The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome is clearly favoured.
  • Acren-Lessines' attack rating of 78 against Namur's 22 supports the home side's edge, though both teams share identical 50% form and defence scores.
  • Namur's four losses in five, including a 5-0 defeat, contrast with Acren-Lessines' tighter recent scorelines, reinforcing the cautious double-chance advice.
  • Namur's 0.70 goals-per-game average and four scoreless outings in five suggest a blunt attack, limiting the away side's winning potential.
  • The head-to-head record heavily favours Namur at 91%, a conflicting signal that explains why the model avoids backing an outright Acren-Lessines win.
  • Both teams concede around two goals per game, so the draw component of the double chance remains a meaningful hedge against a home slip.
Predicted winner
Acren-Lessines
Betting advice
Double chance : Acren-Lessines or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAcren-LessinesUnion Namur
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2h9.0%91.0%
Goals19.0%81.0%
Total45.8%54.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Acren-Lessines

Recent form: LLDLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Union Namur

Recent form: LLLLDW.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Union Namur 6–1 Acren-Lessines (11 Mar 2023)
  2. Acren-Lessines 0–4 Union Namur (26 Nov 2022)
  3. Acren-Lessines —–— Union Namur (18 Apr 2020)
  4. Union Namur 3–2 Acren-Lessines (24 Aug 2019)
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