Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Achilles Veen vs TOGB Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Achilles Veen a 45% home win probability and a 45% draw probability, leaving TOGB at just 10%, which frames the advice of a double chance on Achilles Veen or draw combined with over 1.5 goals. That advice is supported by the form comparison, where Achilles Veen rates 75.00 against TOGB's 25.00, and by the total comparison of 53.50 versus 46.50, even though the attack metric actually favours TOGB 54.00 to 46.00 and the Poisson calculation leans away at 57.00 to 43.00. Those conflicting signals matter because Achilles Veen's actual record is poor: one win, five defeats and no draws in six matches, with a current run of LLWLLL and a 0-8 loss at Kloetinge among five defeats in their last five. TOGB's form is DLLDLL with no wins, two draws and four defeats in six, yet they have scored in five of six matches and their goals-for average of 1.30 is slightly higher than Achilles Veen's 1.20, which helps explain why the model still expects goals despite both sides struggling. Defensively the two are nearly indistinguishable in the comparison at 50.00 each, but the goals analysis shows Achilles Veen conceding 3.00 per game and TOGB 2.50, with both teams keeping zero clean sheets and both seeing over 0.5 and over 1.5 goals against in every match. The over 1.5 element of the advice therefore looks well grounded, since Achilles Veen have gone over 1.5 goals in four of six matches and TOGB in five of six, and neither defence has shown the capacity to suppress scoring. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to reinforce or contradict the home-side lean, and the goals-by-minute breakdowns are also unavailable, meaning the timing of goals cannot be assessed. Overall, the double chance rests mainly on the form and total-comparison gap plus the draw-heavy nature of a low-quality matchup, while the away-leaning Poisson and attack metrics and Achilles Veen's five defeats in six are the clearest reasons to treat the 45-45-10 split as uncertain rather than decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Achilles Veen
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Achilles Veen or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Achilles Veen | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Achilles Veen
Recent form: LLWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
TOGB
Recent form: DLLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


