Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Prediction
· The Wham Stadium
Match prediction
- Cheltenham's stronger recent form and attack ratings, plus superior Poisson and head-to-head metrics, underpin the away-favoured prediction.
- Accrington's draw-heavy profile, with four draws in eight and only one win, explains why the model assigns equal draw and away probabilities.
- Cheltenham's unbeaten scoring record contrasts with Accrington's occasional blanks, supporting the double-chance advice covering draw or away win.
- Identical defensive ratings and equal goals-analysis scores suggest a tight contest, justifying caution rather than a straight away-win recommendation.
- The low home-win probability reflects Accrington's winless away record and single victory, making an outright home success unlikely.
- Head-to-head results are mixed but recent meetings favour the home side, a conflicting signal that the draw component of the advice absorbs.
- Predicted winner
- Cheltenham
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Cheltenham
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Accrington ST | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Attack | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Accrington ST
Recent form: DLLDWLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Cheltenham
Recent form: WLDWDWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Accrington ST 3–1 Cheltenham (31 Jan 2026)
- Cheltenham 1–0 Accrington ST (06 Sep 2025)
- Accrington ST 0–0 Cheltenham (28 Jan 2025)
- Cheltenham 2–1 Accrington ST (01 Oct 2024)
- Cheltenham 0–0 Accrington ST (11 Feb 2023)