Argentina · Primera Nacional

Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction

· La Quema Stadium

Acassuso badgeAcassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar badgeCiudad de Bolívar

Match prediction

  • Ciudad de Bolívar's superior attack and far stronger defence justify the draw-or-away double chance despite Acassuso's recent back-to-back wins.
  • The 45-45 split between away win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance sensibly covers both outcomes rather than backing one.
  • Acassuso's attack rating of 43 against Ciudad de Bolívar's defence of 29 suggests the hosts will struggle to score.
  • Both teams' goal records show almost every match staying under 3.5, supporting the low-scoring half of the advice.
  • Ciudad de Bolívar's head-to-head win and better overall record strengthen the away side's edge, though one meeting is a small sample.
  • Acassuso's 17 failures to score this season reinforce the under 3.5 goals expectation in a low-output fixture.
Predicted winner
Ciudad de Bolívar
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Bolívar and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAcassusoCiudad de Bolívar
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack43.0%57.0%
Defence71.0%29.0%
Poisson40.0%60.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total51.0%49.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Acassuso

Recent form: WWWLLLLLDLLDLWDWLLDLDDLDLLDLLWW.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Ciudad de Bolívar

Recent form: DDDDDDWDWWLWWWDDLLWLDWLLLDWLDLW.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 Acassuso (16 May 2026)
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