Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2

Aalesund II vs NTNUI Prediction

Aalesund II badgeAalesund II vs NTNUI badgeNTNUI

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the away win remains a live 10% risk.
  • Aalesund II's strong head-to-head record and superior goal output support their side of the double chance despite weaker recent form.
  • NTNUI's better form and defensive metrics create genuine tension with the home-favoured advice, explaining why the draw carries equal probability.
  • Both teams' high goals-against averages and frequent over 1.5 goal outcomes make the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • Aalesund II's poor recent form, including a heavy home defeat, tempers confidence in a straight home win and favours the draw cover.
  • The near-even Poisson split and NTNUI's superior form score suggest the double chance is safer than backing Aalesund II alone.
Predicted winner
Aalesund II
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Aalesund II or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAalesund IINTNUI
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2h88.0%13.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total57.3%42.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Aalesund II

Recent form: LLLLLDLWWWLLWLWLLWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

NTNUI

Recent form: DDDWLDLWLWLLDLDLWLDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. NTNUI 0–1 Aalesund II (13 Jun 2026)
  2. NTNUI 1–3 Aalesund II (04 Oct 2021)
  3. NTNUI —–— Aalesund II (03 Oct 2020)
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