Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2
Aalesund II vs NTNUI Prediction
Aalesund II vs
NTNUI
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the away win remains a live 10% risk.
- Aalesund II's strong head-to-head record and superior goal output support their side of the double chance despite weaker recent form.
- NTNUI's better form and defensive metrics create genuine tension with the home-favoured advice, explaining why the draw carries equal probability.
- Both teams' high goals-against averages and frequent over 1.5 goal outcomes make the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Aalesund II's poor recent form, including a heavy home defeat, tempers confidence in a straight home win and favours the draw cover.
- The near-even Poisson split and NTNUI's superior form score suggest the double chance is safer than backing Aalesund II alone.
- Predicted winner
- Aalesund II
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Aalesund II or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Aalesund II | NTNUI |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| H2h | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Aalesund II
Recent form: LLLLLDLWWWLLWLWLLWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
NTNUI
Recent form: DDDWLDLWLWLLDLDLWLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- NTNUI 0–1 Aalesund II (13 Jun 2026)
- NTNUI 1–3 Aalesund II (04 Oct 2021)
- NTNUI —–— Aalesund II (03 Oct 2020)
