AaB W vs Naestved W Prediction
AaB W vs 
Naestved W
Match prediction
- Naestved's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities leave AaB only a slim 10% chance, supporting the draw-or-away double chance.
- AaB's defensive score of 30 against Naestved's 70 is the clearest split, explaining why the model avoids backing the home side.
- Naestved's 1.00 goals-against average versus AaB's 3.00 signals a defensive mismatch that underpins the away-leaning advice.
- Both teams' recent form sits at 50%, so the head-to-head and defensive metrics carry more weight than short-term results.
- The +1.5 goals component fits AaB's 21 goals conceded across seven games, a rate unlikely to produce a goalless match.
- Naestved's 0-4 away win over Thy ThistedQ shows scoring potential, though their three losses in five temper any outright-win confidence.
- Predicted winner
- Naestved W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Naestved W and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | AaB W | Naestved W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Poisson | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
AaB W
Recent form: LLLLWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Naestved W
Recent form: WWLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Naestved W 1–0 AaB W (15 Aug 2026)