9 de Octubre vs San Antonio Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output gives 9 de Octubre a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability, with San Antonio at 0%, producing a double-chance advice of “9 de Octubre or draw” rather than a straight home win. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where 9 de Octubre leads across form (75 vs 25), attack (75 vs 25), defence (62 vs 38), Poisson (68 vs 32), head-to-head (75 vs 25), goals (67 vs 33) and total (70.30 vs 29.70), yet the aggregate advantage is not overwhelming enough to eliminate the draw. The team analysis supports the same reading: 9 de Octubre have 10 wins, 12 draws and only 4 defeats in 26 matches, including 8 home wins against 1 home loss, while San Antonio have 7 wins, 11 draws and 8 defeats, with a pronounced away weakness of 7 losses in 13 road games. The goals analysis adds a further qualification, since 9 de Octubre average 1.10 goals overall but 1.80 at home, whereas San Antonio average 1.00 overall and only 0.80 away, and San Antonio’s defensive average worsens from 0.90 at home to 1.30 away. The last-five records reinforce the divergence in current form, as 9 de Octubre have one win, three draws and one loss, while San Antonio have one draw and four defeats, including a 0-3 home loss to Atletico FC and a 2-4 away loss to Cuniburo. The head-to-head record is more balanced than the 75-25 split suggests, because the most recent meeting on 20 August 2026 finished 0-0 and the ten listed encounters include four draws, four 9 de Octubre wins and two San Antonio wins. That recent 0-0 is also the shared last-five fixture for both teams, which helps explain why the model leaves half its probability on the draw even though 9 de Octubre’s home record and San Antonio’s away record point the same direction. The main tension is therefore between 9 de Octubre’s clear home advantage and San Antonio’s habit of drawing, with 11 draws in 26 matches, which makes the double chance a more defensible expression of the evidence than a single winner. No under-over prediction is supplied, so the goals evidence can only qualify the result market rather than support a separate total.

Predicted winner

9 de Octubre

Betting advice

Double chance : 9 de Octubre or draw

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. San Antonio 0–0 9 de Octubre (20 Aug 2026)
2. 9 de Octubre 2–0 San Antonio (21 Mar 2026)
3. 9 de Octubre 1–1 San Antonio (01 Oct 2025)
4. San Antonio 2–2 9 de Octubre (02 Sep 2025)
5. 9 de Octubre 1–0 San Antonio (25 Jul 2025)