Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B

9 de Octubre vs Atletico FC Prediction

· Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer

9 de Octubre badge9 de Octubre vs Atletico FC badgeAtletico FC

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the logical expression of a genuinely balanced fixture.
  • Both sides sit on identical recent form and similar league records, so the draw component carries as much weight as the away win.
  • Head-to-head strongly favours Atletico FC, yet two of the three meetings ended level, reinforcing the draw-or-away advice.
  • Nine de Octubre's attack and Poisson metrics edge ahead, but their weak away scoring record undercuts any home-win case.
  • Atletico FC's superior defensive rating and away clean sheets support their inclusion, though their modest away goal output tempers outright confidence.
  • Low-scoring profiles on both sides, with most matches under 2.5 goals, point toward a tight contest rather than a decisive result.
Predicted winner
Atletico FC
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Atletico FC
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

Factor9 de OctubreAtletico FC
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson57.0%43.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Team form and goal analysis

9 de Octubre

Recent form: WDLWWLWWWWDDDWDDDWDLDDDDWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Atletico FC

Recent form: DWWWDDDDDDWLDWWDWDWLDWLDWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico FC 2–2 9 de Octubre (04 Sep 2026)
  2. Atletico FC 0–0 9 de Octubre (03 Jun 2026)
  3. 9 de Octubre 1–2 Atletico FC (04 Apr 2026)
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