7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the natural expression of a fixture lacking a clear favourite.
• SE Belford Roxo's superior Poisson and head-to-head scores, plus a 3-0 win last time out, support their inclusion in the advice.
• 7 de Abril's stronger recent form and attack ratings conflict with the model's low 10% home win probability, suggesting their edge is not decisive.
• Both defences rate identically at 50, while Belford Roxo concede fewer goals per game, tilting the balance slightly toward the away side.
• Belford Roxo's three draws in six matches and unbeaten away record reinforce the draw half of the double chance.
• The single head-to-head meeting is a small sample, so it strengthens rather than determines the away-leaning advice.

Predicted winner

SE Belford Roxo

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or SE Belford Roxo

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. 7 de Abril 0–3 SE Belford Roxo (21 Sep 2025)