1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since only a 10% away win would defeat it.
- Trabzon's overwhelming 93-7 head-to-head edge and 75-25 goals comparison reinforce the home side's historical dominance in this matchup.
- Serik's superior recent form and Poisson rating conflict with Trabzon's head-to-head record, explaining why the model splits evenly between home and draw.
- Trabzon's leaky defence, conceding 2.5 goals per home game, tempers confidence in an outright home win and supports covering the draw.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles, with Trabzon and Serik averaging 1.5 and 1.0 goals, suggest a tight contest rather than a comfortable home victory.
- Serik's tendency to draw away, two stalemates in four matches, makes a share of the points a realistic threat to the home-only outcome.
- Predicted winner
- 1461 Trabzon FK
- Betting advice
- Double chance : 1461 Trabzon FK or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | 1461 Trabzon FK | Serik Spor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
1461 Trabzon FK
Recent form: LLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Serik Spor
Recent form: DWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- 1461 Trabzon FK 2–0 Serik Spor (28 Apr 2024)
- Serik Spor 2–2 1461 Trabzon FK (20 Dec 2023)
- Serik Spor 1–2 1461 Trabzon FK (09 Apr 2023)
- 1461 Trabzon FK 1–0 Serik Spor (29 Oct 2022)
- 1461 Trabzon FK 5–1 Serik Spor (05 Mar 2022)