12 Bingölspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward 12 Bingölspor via a double-chance call, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for 1461 Trabzon FK, so the advice effectively treats the visitors as unlikely winners. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form reads 83.00 to 17.00 and defence 67.00 to 33.00 in Bingölspor's favour, while the Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 is far more extreme than the probabilities themselves and should be read as a directional signal rather than a literal forecast. The attack comparison is level at 50.00 apiece, which qualifies the home edge: Bingölspor's advantage appears to rest more on defensive solidity and current form than on superior firepower. The team analysis supports that reading, since Bingölspor are unbeaten in three (one win, two draws) with one clean sheet and no failures to score, whereas Trabzon have lost twice and drawn once without keeping a clean sheet. Bingölspor's goals analysis shows a 0.00 home goals-against average and a 1.30 overall scoring rate, with all four goals arriving after the 60th minute, suggesting a patient, low-volume attack rather than sustained pressure. Trabzon's numbers are more volatile: they average 2.00 goals at home but 0.00 away, and their 2.00 goals-against average includes three of six concessions after the 76th minute, hinting at late-game vulnerability. The last-five records echo this contrast, with Bingölspor's sequence of draws and wins including a 1-0 home victory over Ankaragücü and a 2-2 draw at İnegölspor, while Trabzon's run features a 2-2 home draw with Ankara Demirspor, a 1-0 away loss to Yeni Orduspor and a 2-3 home defeat by Sakaryaspor. However, the head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can confirm or contradict the model's preference, and the goals comparison fields are also blank, leaving the total split of 66.70 to 33.30 as the main aggregate summary. Taken together, the evidence points to a cautious home-leaning call in which Bingölspor's defensive record and form justify the double chance, but the level attack metric, the draw-heavy recent pattern and the small three-match sample mean the 45% draw probability is a genuine alternative rather than a formality.

Predicted winner

12 Bingölspor

Betting advice

Double chance : 12 Bingölspor or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.