1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction
Match prediction
- Nürnberg's unbeaten five-match form and superior attack rating support the home win, though the model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities signal only marginal confidence.
- Ingolstadt's strong head-to-head record and away goal average conflict with their poor away form, qualifying the home-win advice.
- Nürnberg's perfect over 1.5 goals record across five matches underpins the +1.5 goals component of the combo advice.
- Ingolstadt's low scoring average and tendency toward under 2.5 goals suggest the total may hinge on Nürnberg's output alone.
- Nürnberg's goals cluster heavily after halftime, implying early caution before the over 1.5 condition likely materialises.
- The friendly context and Nürnberg's historical home vulnerability to Ingolstadt temper the prediction's reliability despite favourable current metrics.
- Predicted winner
- 1. FC Nürnberg
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : 1. FC Nürnberg and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | 1. FC Nürnberg | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
1. FC Nürnberg
Recent form: WWWDW.
Average goals scored: 4.40 per match.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Recent form: WLWWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 (12 Jan 2025)
- 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 FC Ingolstadt 04 (21 Mar 2024)
- 1. FC Nürnberg 0–5 FC Ingolstadt 04 (04 Feb 2022)
- 1. FC Nürnberg 0–7 FC Ingolstadt 04 (08 Oct 2021)
- FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 1. FC Nürnberg (22 Aug 2021)