Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
1. FC Muhlhausen vs CFR Pforzheim Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the level split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear home dominance.
- Muhlhausen's stronger recent form and home record support the win-or-draw selection, but Pforzheim's superior away defence and clean sheets keep the away threat credible.
- Both attacks rate equally while Muhlhausen's defence is only marginally better, so the +1.5 goals component rests on each side's consistent scoring rather than a defensive mismatch.
- Muhlhausen's high-scoring home fixtures and Pforzheim's tendency toward tight, low-margin games suggest goals are likely but the winner margin remains unpredictable.
- The Poisson metric favouring Pforzheim conflicts with the form and home advantage evidence, which explains why the model hedges with double chance instead of a straight home win.
- Pforzheim's three straight defeats weaken their away case, yet their earlier away wins and solid defensive record prevent the model from dismissing them entirely.
- Predicted winner
- 1. FC Muhlhausen
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : 1. FC Muhlhausen or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | 1. FC Muhlhausen | CFR Pforzheim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
1. FC Muhlhausen
Recent form: LLWWWWDWL.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
CFR Pforzheim
Recent form: DDWWWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


