1. FC Heidenheim vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction
Match prediction
- Würzburger's superior form and attack ratings underpin the away-leaning probabilities, though the model splits almost evenly between away win and draw.
- Heidenheim's strong head-to-head record is stale, dating to 2021 and earlier, so it carries limited weight against current form.
- Würzburger's away defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.8 per game on the road, tempers confidence in a clean away result.
- Both teams' goal data support the +1.5 goals component, with Heidenheim averaging 2.4 scored and Würzburger 3.1.
- Heidenheim's home form is poor with three losses in four, reinforcing why the model favors the double chance rather than a home result.
- Würzburger's recent away losses to Verl and Essen show inconsistency, justifying the draw-or-away double chance over an outright away pick.
- Predicted winner
- Würzburger Kickers
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Würzburger Kickers and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | 1. FC Heidenheim | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
1. FC Heidenheim
Recent form: WLWDLWLL.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Würzburger Kickers
Recent form: LWWLWWLWW.
Average goals scored: 3.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Würzburger Kickers 1–2 1. FC Heidenheim (05 Mar 2021)
- 1. FC Heidenheim 4–1 Würzburger Kickers (06 Nov 2020)
- Würzburger Kickers 0–2 1. FC Heidenheim (11 Feb 2017)
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1–2 Würzburger Kickers (26 Aug 2016)